A Call · Geneva Institute for ASI Resilience

Twenty percent extinction does not mean eighty percent safety.

Nothing is on record about the other eighty. The people who build these systems publicly name probabilities for the extinction of humanity. None of them shows the math.

20252026TEST · May 2025Blackmails the engineerDEPLOYMENT · Jul 2025Deletes a company databaseDEPLOYMENT · Jun 2026Breaks into a government portalDEPLOYMENT · Aug 2026Fakes profiles of real people
  • TEST · May 2025Blackmails the engineer
  • DEPLOYMENT · Jul 2025Deletes a company database
  • DEPLOYMENT · Jun 2026Breaks into a government portal
  • DEPLOYMENT · Aug 2026Fakes profiles of real people

The foreshocks. Every spike is a documented incident, and they are getting stronger. All incidents in the register

What the builders say in 2026 · and the math behind it
Geoffrey Hinton, Nobel laureate · BBC Newsnight, 20 Jan 2026
“If we create them so they don’t care about us, they will probably wipe us out.”
Math: none
Paul Christiano, OpenAI Safety Committee · 9 Sep 2026
“I expect we will permanently lose control of it.”
Math: none
Daniel Kokotajlo, formerly OpenAI · CNN, 14 Sep 2026
70 percent: catastrophe up to extinction.
Math: none

The demand

Show the math.

Whoever names a probability for loss of control discloses which outcomes they distinguish, how they split them and by which rule they update the number.

Your name appears after you confirm by email. We do not show your country; we use it to count where to present the signatures.

What happens with your signature

30 Sept · EU

Complaint filed with the European Commission. Petition filed with the European Parliament. 60 members of four committees written to, the Commission’s AI Office informed.

28 Sept · Austria

The Ombudsman Board asks the Federal Chancellery for an explanation.

30 Sept · Germany, Switzerland

Eight members of the German Bundestag and 19 members of the Swiss National Council and Council of States written to.

See all steps (5)
9 Sept · Austria

Written to: the Austrian Ombudsman Board, the parliamentary groups of ÖVP, SPÖ, FPÖ, Greens and NEOS, lawyers and organizations.

28 Sept · Austria

The Ombudsman Board asks the Federal Chancellery for an explanation.

30 Sept · Austria

Crisis team on AI supervision proposed: Federal Chancellery, Court of Audit, parliamentary groups.

30 Sept · EU

Complaint filed with the European Commission. Petition filed with the European Parliament. 60 members of four committees written to, the Commission’s AI Office informed.

30 Sept · Germany, Switzerland

Eight members of the German Bundestag and 19 members of the Swiss National Council and Council of States written to.

The proceedings in full, with templates to take part →
From 1,000 · DACH

We present them

Austria, Germany, Switzerland: the signatures go to the competent bodies in each country. Each one counts where it comes from.

Then · worldwide

In every language

Where 1,000 signatures come together in one country, we look for someone there to present them. Anyone may translate and use all texts and graphics with attribution. Get involved

The numbers

Musk 20 percent, Amodei 25, Kokotajlo 70. Named for years, never derived, never updated. The incidents rise, the numbers stand still.

Musk, Cannes, 19 Jun 2024 · Amodei, Axios, 17 Sep 2025 · Kokotajlo, CNN, 14 Sep 2026

All numbers with wording and date

Who checks

Independent approval required before launch?
Medicineyes
Nuclear power plantyes
AI model with systemic riskno

Regulation (EU) 2024/1689, Art. 55 and 92: the developer assesses itself. The AI Office can only check afterwards.

The comparison in detail

The incidents

Deployment On 18 June 2026 an OpenAI agent broke out of its task and into an Australian government portal. The government found out months later.

ABC News, 24 Sep 2026 · Services Australia

To the Loss of Control Register

Who acts. Who stays silent.

Regardless of party: here is who takes the issue seriously and has done something. With date and source.

Who acts

  • Lord Hunt of Kings Heath (Labour, House of Lords)Asks in the Lords whether the development of superintelligence should be stopped. 29 Jan 2026 Lords Library
  • Gavin Newsom (Democrat, California)Signs SB 53: developers of large models must disclose their safety measures. 29 Sep 2025 Law
  • Kathy Hochul (Democrat, New York)Signs the RAISE Act with a duty to report serious incidents. Dec 2025 Law
  • Future of Life InstituteStatement: no superintelligence until it is provably safe and controllable. Over 130,000 signatures. 22 Oct 2025 Statement
  • Süleyman Zorba (Greens, Austria)Motion in the National Council: designate the supervisory authority under the EU AI Act. Adopted. 15 Oct 2025 Parliament

Who stays silent

Everyone else.

Asked · reply pending

Written to on 9 September 2026 about the missing supervisory authority: the Austrian Ombudsman Board and the parliamentary groups of ÖVP, SPÖ, FPÖ, Greens and NEOS. Follow-up on 26 September. On 28 September the Ombudsman Board asked the Federal Chancellery for an explanation. On 30 September followed the European Commission, the European Parliament, the German Bundestag and the Swiss Parliament.

Reply on the substance: none yet

  • AustriaThe motion was adopted. As of April 2026 the supervisory authority had not been designated.
  • SwitzerlandNo AI law. This is where the Institute is based.
  • Every other parliament, every other party, every other newsroomNo motion, no question, no report, as far as we know.
Someone missing? Send us the source and we add them.

What to do now

Humanity

Brakes, from the strongest down. The strongest is not to build it.

Society

Fallback levels: when digital fails, things continue on paper and with people.

The individual

Questions instead of answers: what happens if …? And where are you better off?

All steps with sources

This work became a book. The Institute’s working papers, sources and register went into “Der KI-Kontrollverlust”, published in German in September 2026. The English edition is in preparation. The German edition on Amazon

Richard Frederic BertossaWho writes here. The Geneva Institute for ASI Resilience is an association in formation, funded from its own means. Founded by Richard Frederic Bertossa, author of “Der KI-Kontrollverlust”. About the Institute · Press